Every week, our co-founder and publisher, Craig Amick, will release his regional projections. These projections are a snap-shot of what the bracket might look like if it were released today based on the criteria that the NCAA Tournament Committee uses to build the field of 64 in June. These projections are not a prediction of what the bracket will look like in June, so every week we will get closer and closer to the final picture.
As we get closer to the end of the season, this projection will come at the beginning of the weeks, and multiple times in the final week.
The national seeds have a number next to them in parenthesis and the projected super regional matchups are side-by-side. Projected conference champions are in italics.
Please post any questions or comments below or send a tweet to Craig at @craigamick_co.
Last Four In: Washington, Michigan State, Stetson, Southeastern Louisiana
First Four Out: Wichita State, Texas State, Tulane, Indiana State
A few notes this week:
1) St. John’s and Hawaii are taking two at-large spots away by leading their respective conferences. If Louisville and New Mexico State both win their conference tournaments, there are two more spots open in the field. Of course, bubble teams will also be rooting for Purdue, College of Charleston, Coastal Carolina, etc., to keep that bubble firm.
2) Right now the bubble consists of mostly mid-major schools. Don’t be surprised to see a major conference surprise (Oklahoma, for example) when the brackets are released. There very well could be a team in the 60′s in the RPI in the at-large field this year.
3) The national seeds are nearly set at this point. North Carolina, Kentucky, Virginia and Fullerton could potentially move in, but barring a major surprise, there’s no one else in line for a national seed.
4) Host spots are pretty solid, too. Mississippi, Stanford and Arizona are close, but no one else is really close at this point.
|Talahassee Regional||Fayetteville Regional|
|1||Florida State (1)||1||Arkansas|
|2||College of Charleston||2||Arizona|
|4||Jackson State||4||Oral Roberts|
|Columbia Regional||Charlottesville Regional|
|1||South Carolina (8)||1||Virginia|
|Los Angeles Regional||Fullerton Regional|
|1||UCLA (4)||1||Cal State Fullerton|
|Baton Rouge Regional||College Station Regional|
|1||LSU (5)||1||Texas A&M|
|3||Virginia Tech||3||Mississippi State|
|Waco Regional||Houston Regional|
|3||Sam Houston State||3||Texas|
|4||Kent State||4||Stony Brook|
|Eugene Regional||Chapel Hill Regional|
|1||Oregon (7)||1||North Carolina|
|2||New Mexico State||2||East Carolina|
|West Lafayette Regional||Lexingon Regional|
|4||St. Louis||4||Wright State|
|Gainesville Regional||Raleigh Regional|
|1||Florida (3)||1||NC State|
|2||Central Florida||2||Appalachian State|