Every week, our co-founder and publisher, Craig Amick, will release his regional projections. These projections are a snap-shot of what the bracket might look like if it were released today based on the criteria that the NCAA Tournament Committee uses to build the field of 64 in June. These projections are not a prediction of what the bracket will look like in June, so every week we will get closer and closer to the final picture.
As we get closer to the end of the season, this projection will come at the beginning of the weeks, and multiple times in the final week.
The national seeds have a number next to them in parenthesis and the projected super regional matchups are side-by-side. Projected conference champions are in italics.
This week, we’ll post projections Monday, Friday and Sunday before the hosts are released.
Please post any questions or comments below or send a tweet to Craig at @craigamick_co.
Last Four In: Missouri State, Sam Houston State, College of Charleston, Indiana State
First Four Out: Wichita State, Michigan State, Texas, Elon
| Los Angeles Regional | Coral Gables Regional | ||||||
| 1 | UCLA (1) | 1 | Miami | ||||
| 2 | San Diego | 2 | Mississippi State | ||||
| 3 | New Mexico | 3 | Appalachian State | ||||
| 4 | Manhattan | 4 | Austin Peay | ||||
| Columbia Regional | Raleigh Regional | ||||||
| 1 | South Carolina (8) | 1 | NC State | ||||
| 2 | Clemson | 2 | Vanderbilt | ||||
| 3 | College of Charleston | 3 | Coastal Carolina | ||||
| 4 | Stony Brook | 4 | Army | ||||
| Chapel Hill Regional | College Station Regional | ||||||
| 1 | North Carolina (4) | 1 | Texas A&M | ||||
| 2 | East Carolina | 2 | Arkansas | ||||
| 3 | UNC-Wilmington | 3 | Sam Houston State | ||||
| 4 | Sacred Heart | 4 | Creighton | ||||
| Waco Regional | Houston Regional | ||||||
| 1 | Baylor (5) | 1 | Rice | ||||
| 2 | Dallas Baptist | 2 | Oklahoma | ||||
| 3 | TCU | 3 | Texas-Arlington | ||||
| 4 | Oral Roberts | 4 | UAB | ||||
| Gainesville Regional | Charlottesville Regional | ||||||
| 1 | Florida (2) | 1 | Virginia | ||||
| 2 | Central Florida | 2 | Oregon State | ||||
| 3 | Belmont | 3 | Louisville | ||||
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | 4 | Dayton | ||||
| Eugene Regional | Gary Regional | ||||||
| 1 | Oregon (7) | 1 | Purdue | ||||
| 2 | Pepperdine | 2 | Kentucky | ||||
| 3 | St. John’s | 3 | Indiana State | ||||
| 4 | Cornell | 4 | Valparaiso | ||||
| Tallahassee Regional | Tuscon Regional | ||||||
| 1 | Florida State (3) | 1 | Arizona | ||||
| 2 | Mississippi | 2 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 3 | Kent State | 3 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 4 | Prairie View A&M | 4 | Missouri | ||||
| Baton Rouge Regional | Palo Alto Regional | ||||||
| 1 | LSU (6) | 1 | Stanford | ||||
| 2 | Georgia Tech | 2 | Cal State Fullerton | ||||
| 3 | Samford | 3 | Missouri State | ||||
| 4 | Louisiana-Monroe | 4 | Fresno State | ||||
About the Author
Craig Amick
Tyler Knowles
Jono Greco
Blake Colston
Nick Gryniewicz
Kirsten Karbach
how does miami host over top of kentucky? Kentucky a better record in a better conference, they did better against common 1-2 against Florida as opposed to getting swept by Florida , Miami was swept three times this year, Kentucky was not swept at all, in my opinion that makes Miami’s RPI a little inflated. I’ve more conversation about college baseball in state of Kentucky since I got here then I’ve had in the past six years because of Kentucky’s success this yearn people are excited. Many of these people were considering going to Lexington to see their Wildcats, now they’re being told that because they don’t have the tradition or can’t sell as many tickets as Miami that they can’t host regional, talk about a smack in the face.
Yeah, for the record, I don’t agree with it, either. That said, it’s the RPI. It’s the only thing it can be.
But Craig shoudn’t guys be punished for being swept multiple times? I mean on three occasions this year Miami could not come up with one win out of three games. Kentucky also did better against their common opponent, Florida. I mean we’re trying to spread college baseball outside of traditional baseball areas, how are we going to do this by rewarding traditional powers over top of up and coming teams, I mean there are people I’ve talked to up here who were interested in going to Lexington for a regional they’re going to be quite disillusioned and may lose interest.
Jeff, I don’t disagree with anything you’ve said. I’ve had Miami as a two in my projections for weeks. I don’t think they deserve the host spot, but I’m not the committee. I won’t agree with a few teams that get into the field, either. I’m confident of that.