Every week, our co-founder and publisher, Craig Amick, will release his regional projections. These projections are a snap-shot of what the bracket might look like if it were released today based on the criteria that the NCAA Tournament Committee uses to build the field of 64 in June. These projections are not a prediction of what the bracket will look like in June, so every week we will get closer and closer to the final picture.
The national seeds have a number next to them in parenthesis and the projected super regional match-ups are side-by-side. Projected conference champions are in italics, an asterisk indicates a team that’s earned an automatic bid.
We will also have projections Friday and our final projections after the tournaments on Sunday.
A few notes this week:
National Seeds – There is a battle between a few for the last few national seeds. Louisiana-Lafayette looks pretty solid at this point, Miami also looks solid, but the final spot is a very tough call. This projection, the spot went to South Carolina. If Oklahoma State wins the Big 12 Tournament, it will be tough to not give the Cowboys that spot. Vanderbilt and Rice are two others under consideration.
Regional Hosts – The host picture is really as clear as I’ve ever seen it this year. Louisville and Houston could still jump in and take the final spot, which LSU has taken this week, but the rest look pretty solid barring a major shakeup this week.
Bubble – The bubble isn’t overflowing for sure, but there are some teams with an argument. West Coast teams are close, West Virginia could work itself back in with a big week and others are right there. The biggest effect on the bubble could be the small conference tournaments. There are quite a few small conferences that could shake things up with upsets. On the other hand, an Evansville loss could open up another spot as they’re likely not getting in without qualifying automatically.
More to come on Friday. The projections are below.
Please post any questions or comments below or send a tweet to Craig at @chasingomaha.
Last Four In: Old Dominion, San Diego State, Clemson, Illinois
First Four Out: Long Beach St., West Virginia, Stanford, Tennessee
|Charlottesville Regional||Seattle Regional|
|4||WIlliam & Mary||4||Stony Brook|
|Columbia Regional||Houston Regional|
|1||South Carolina (8)||1||Rice|
|3||Old Dominion||3||Dallas Baptist|
|Bloomington Regional||Nashville Regional|
|Tallahassee Regional||Oxford Regional|
|1||Florida State (5)||1||Mississippi|
|4||Florida Gulf Coast||4||SE Missouri State|
|Gainesville Regional||Ft. Worth Regional|
|2||Houston||2||Sam Houston State|
|3||North Carolina||3||Texas A&M|
|Lafayette Regional||Baton Rouge Regional|
|3||Georgia Tech||3||New Mexico|
|Corvallis Regional||San Luis Obispo Regional|
|1||Oregon State (2)||1||Cal Poly|
|3||San Diego State||3||Maryland|
|Miami Regional||Stillwater Regional|
|1||Miami (7)||1||Oklahoma State|
|4||Jackson State*||4||South Dakota State|