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May 20, 2014

Chasing Omaha Regional Projections – 5/20/2014

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Every week, our co-founder and publisher, Craig Amick, will release his regional projections. These projections are a snap-shot of what the bracket might look like if it were released today based on the criteria that the NCAA Tournament Committee uses to build the field of 64 in June. These projections are not a prediction of what the bracket will look like in June, so every week we will get closer and closer to the final picture.

The national seeds have a number next to them in parenthesis and the projected super regional match-ups are side-by-side. Projected conference champions are in italics, an asterisk indicates a team that’s earned an automatic bid.

We will also have projections Friday and our final projections after the tournaments on Sunday.

A few notes this week:

National Seeds – There is a battle between a few for the last few national seeds.  Louisiana-Lafayette looks pretty solid at this point, Miami also looks solid, but the final spot is a very tough call. This projection, the spot went to South Carolina. If Oklahoma State wins the Big 12 Tournament, it will be tough to not give the Cowboys that spot. Vanderbilt and Rice are two others under consideration.

Regional Hosts – The host picture is really as clear as I’ve ever seen it this year. Louisville and Houston could still jump in and take the final spot, which LSU has taken this week, but the rest look pretty solid barring a major shakeup this week.

Bubble – The bubble isn’t overflowing for sure, but there are some teams with an argument.  West Coast teams are close, West Virginia could work itself back in with a big week and others are right there.  The biggest effect on the bubble could be the small conference tournaments.  There are quite a few small conferences that could shake things up with upsets.  On the other hand, an Evansville loss could open up another spot as they’re likely not getting in without qualifying automatically.

More to come on Friday.  The projections are below.

Please post any questions or comments below or send a tweet to Craig at @chasingomaha.

 

Last Four In:  Old Dominion, San Diego State, Clemson, Illinois

First Four Out:  Long Beach St., West Virginia, Stanford, Tennessee

Charlottesville Regional Seattle Regional
1 Virginia (1) 1 Washington
2 Liberty 2 UNLV
3 Bryant 3 Mercer
4 WIlliam & Mary 4 Stony Brook
Columbia Regional Houston Regional
1 South Carolina (8) 1 Rice
2 Oregon 2 Texas
3 Old Dominion 3 Dallas Baptist
4 Bucknell* 4 St. Louis
Bloomington Regional Nashville Regional
1 Indiana (4) 1 Vanderbilt
2 Kentucky 2 Kansas
3 Indiana State 3 Clemson
4 Ball State 4 Evansville
Tallahassee Regional Oxford Regional
1 Florida State (5) 1 Mississippi
2 Mississippi State 2 Louisville
3 Central Florida 3 Illinois
4 Florida Gulf Coast 4 SE Missouri State
Gainesville Regional Ft. Worth Regional
1 Florida (3) 1 TCU
2 Houston 2 Sam Houston State
3 North Carolina 3 Texas A&M
4 Bethune-Cookman* 4 Creighton
Lafayette Regional Baton Rouge Regional
1 Louisiana-Lafayette (6) 1 LSU
2 Alabama 2 Texas Tech
3 Georgia Tech 3 New Mexico
4 Wright State 4 Columbia*
Corvallis Regional San Luis Obispo Regional
1 Oregon State (2) 1 Cal Poly
2 UC Irvine 2 Pepperdine
3 San Diego State 3 Maryland
4 Canisius 4 Sacramento State
Miami Regional Stillwater Regional
1 Miami (7) 1 Oklahoma State
2 Arizona State 2 Nebraska
3 Western Carolina 3 Arkansas
4 Jackson State* 4 South Dakota State


About the Author

Craig Amick
Co-Founder / Media Director / Big 12 Writer, Read Full Bio »




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4 Comments


  1. Clay Dyess

    Why are you not giving Ole Miss any consideration for a national seed? They won the west, currently 13 RPI, 24 toughest schedule in country, won 14 of last 18 games, I can go on and on. I think they should at least get consideration. I enjoy your site!!


  2. Michael Grisar

    I am sorry, but SEC rankings are similar (and overhyped) like football. They beat each other but all stay ranked because the SEC is supposedly so strong. Yet the west coast teams win in the end simply because in baseball, they are better. And then the brackets will come out and you will have 16 SEC teams make the tourney, half of which have losing records! I am sorry, but if you are good enough, win games! Plus another sham is half of the teams will host regionals. If you aren’t good enough to win your league, you shouldn’t host!! #NCAA stinks! Quit the Southern Bias!
    How is UNLV not ranked in any poll? Wins MW conf and about to win conf tourney with solid pitching and hitting. Played a tough schedule and lost some very close games and won some good games against solid competition.



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